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10.14.20 Sowing's Week 6 Picks10.09.20 Top 15 Antlers Songs
10.07.20 Sowing's Week 5 Picks10.01.20 Sowing's Week 4 Picks
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Sowing's Week 5 Picks

Went an admirable 12-3 with my picks last week, and I'm off to a blistering 44-18 start to the year. The trend shall continue this week! As always, list is digs.
1Bendrix Littleton
Deep Dark South

Buccaneers 23, Bears 21 - Foles vs. Brady, round 2. Ding Ding! Let the fight begin. As amusing as it will be to see those two square off again, this game will be determined by which Chicago defense arrives. If the dominant one that rushes the passer and generates turnovers shows up, the Bears can win this. However, they've been rather inconsistent on that side of the ball, and Tampa's offense is clicking. Give me the Bucs in a heart-stopping thriller.
2Corey Taylor

Rams 27, Football Team 17 - Given all of the offseason adversity and talent exodus from the roster, Washington has actually played at a respectable level early this season. Their ball-control offense and strong defensive approach is designed to grind out ugly wins, but as we saw against Baltimore last week, when the opposing offensive firepower is immense, they simply can't keep up. This is another one of those cases, although Jared Goff isn't going to take off on a 50 yard TD run any time soon, so this won't be quite as bad of a blowout for the Football Team to endure.
Phoenix: Flames Are Dew Upon My Skin

Bills 30, Titans 22 - It's a shame that the Titans' undefeated start has been interrupted by a COVID-19 outbreak within their organization. Hopefully, it won't impact their momentum coming into this matchup with the 4-0 Bills. Lost in Buffalo's undefeated start has been the shaky play of what was supposed to be a dominant defense. With Josh Allen, Devin Singletary, and Stefon Diggs clicking on all levels, they have not needed to rely on their defense like they have in '18 and '19, but they will need to be in top form against Tennessee's bulldozing rush attack and the sneakily strong play of Ryan Tannehill. I foresee a game that goes back and forth, but the Bills - riding high on a breakthrough season by Josh Allen - will pull ahead in the 4th quarter for good.
Ultra Mono

Steelers 26, Eagles 13 - The Eagles got a nice upset victory against the 49ers, and now reside atop the NFC East with a record of 1-2-1. Division champs that they currently are, I do not foresee that good fortune rolling into a road matchup against a well-rested Steelers team with arguably the scariest pass rush in all of football. This feels like a messy game with multiple turnovers (mostly on the Philly side). The Steelers will manhandle their way to an easy win and a 4-0 start.
5Sufjan Stevens
The Ascension

Cardinals 24, Jets 20 - Arizona came out of the 2020 gate like a darkhorse playoff candidate, but after faltering in consecutive losses to Detroit and Carolina, they suddenly feel like the same old Cardinals. On the other hand we have the 0-4 Jets, who have to win a game eventually, right? My mind is whispering "upset pick", but Adam Gase is such a terrible coach and the Cardinals are too talented to succumb to three straight losses, so I'll roll with the Cardinals to win a closer-than-anticipated game and get back above .500. Gase will be fired by Monday afternoon.
When I Die, Will I Get Better?

Chiefs 42, Raiders 27 - The Chiefs are an absolute machine that can't be stopped. The Raiders' defense puts up very little resistance against even average offenses, so this has the makings of a shootout. Even though Las Vegas can put up points too, they're not the kind of offense that routinely drops 28 points in a quarter on their opponents - so, Mahomes and co. will roll to 5-0 in what is sure to be a fantasy owner's wet dream.
7Drive-By Truckers
The New OK

Texans 24, Jaguars 21 - The Bill O'Brien era has concluded, and Romeo Crennel steps in as interim HC. There's something in sports that I'll call the motivation factor, and players under new coaching tend to ball out in an effort to solidify their spot within the new scheme. I think we'll see a little bit of that from Houston, and it won't take much to push them above Jacksonville. This will be a tight divisional game no doubt, but Houston will notch its first win of the year at home against a hapless Jags squad.

Ravens 31, Bengals 20 - Don't count out this Cincy team - they have the talent, youth, and leadership (how good has Burrow been?) to contend with almost anyone. Unfortunately, the Ravens are one of maybe four teams in the NFL that I simply refuse to even entertain the thought of them defeating. The Bengals will make things interesting at some point in this game, but Baltimore will eventually run away with the W just like they do in every game where they're not playing the Chiefs.
9The Ocean
Phanerozoic II: Mesozoic | Cenozoic

Falcons 28, Panthers 20 - Listen, Carolina is my lifelong favorite team and I'm more psyched than anyone about their expectation-defying 2-2 start. I truly hope I eat my words here, but Atlanta - a team far better than its 0-4 record suggests - is due for a win...and Carolina - a feisty young team that has outperformed its actual talent - is due to come down to Earth again. This is a gut pick, it just feels written in the cosmos. Atlanta goes up big early, and finally holds on in the 4th quarter against a Carolina offense that isn't designed for shootouts.
10Fleet Foxes

49ers 21, Dolphins 20 - There was chatter about Tua making his NFL debut, but Miami has named Fitzpatrick the starter again this week. This benefits Miami in this particular matchup, where veteran savvy will be needed to navigate a speedy and talented San Fran defense. The 49ers are coming off an upset loss to Philly, and Kittle absolutely balled out coming off of his injury designation, so I think San Francisco will get back on track here. Fitzpatrick will find a way to make this a nail-biter, though.
Summits of Despondency

Cowboys 38, Giants 24 - The Cowboys defense has surrendered an average of 42 points per game in their last three matchups, which is historically bad. It's a good thing, then, that they draw the Giants' anemic offense in Week 5, which averages 11.75 ppg through their first four matches. New York will probably ball out to 20+ points thanks to the Cowboys' generous D, but Dallas ~should~ score more than that and improve to 2-3, which just might put them back atop the horrid NFC East.
No Good Left To Give

Browns 24, Colts 21 - Who would have thought that these teams would have a combined 6-2 record a quarter of the way through the 2020 regular season? The Colts' defense ranks near the top of the league, while the Browns just dropped 49 points on Dallas in an upset win. This could go either way, but I like the Browns' moxie right now. I'll roll the dice and trust Cleveland (*cringes*).
13Tyler Childers
Long Violent History

POSTPONED DUE TO COVID -- Patriots 24, Broncos 21 - If this game gets played (more members of the Patriots organization have tested positive for coronavirus), then I think it will be a grind-it-out matchup between two teams that lean heavy on the run. Philip Lindsay returns for Denver, adding a complementary gut punch to Melvin Gordon's finesse running style. The Patriots, who may or may not have Newton back on the field, will probably rush the ball a ton of times regardless because that's their new post-Brady mantra. I trust Belichick to find a way against a banged up Denver team.
14Bill Callahan
Gold Record

Seahawks 39, Vikings 21 - Just how good has Russell Wilson been? Good enough that I refuse to bet against him, especially against a disappointing Vikings team that rests at 1-3. The Vikings do seem to be improving after getting their first win of the season and with the emergence of Justin Jefferson, but that's not enough to put them in the same ball park as Seattle, who are looking more like a Superbowl contender every week.
So Glad You Exist

Saints 27, Chargers 20 - The Saints are back at .500, which is hardly where anyone expected them to be a quarter of the way through the season. The Chargers look good with Justin Herbert under center, but he's still very raw and developing his skills as a rookie QB. I like Brees and co. to win this and get to 3-2, where they can slowly put themselves back in position to contend with Tampa for the NFC South.
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