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Sowing's Week 4 Picks

9-6 last week, 32-15 on the season. Onward and upward. List is digs.
1Deftones
Ohms


Broncos 16, Jets 12 - The battle of the winless. I have no faith in Adam Gase and am still shocked he remains employed as a head coach, to the point that I'm willing to bet on the banged-up Broncos over them. Denver at least played Pittsburgh and Tennessee close when healthy, and didn't look totally lost against Brady's Bucs. I like them here even on the road, on a short week, traveling to the east coast, as an 0-3 squad searching for their first victory. That's how bad the Jets are.
2Fleet Foxes
Shore


Cardinals 26, Panthers 20 - The Cardinals hit a bump in the road versus Detroit last week. To avoid the same from happening here, Kyler Murray will need to limit those turnovers. I do like Arizona to bounce back though, even against a Panthers squad that notched their first win minus their star runningback last week. The Cardinals simply have too much offensive firepower for Carolina to match them score for score sans McCaffrey. Cardinals roll one win closer to a break out season.
3Sufjan Stevens
The Ascension


Bears 27, Colts 23 - There's no magic quite like Foles in the underdog role. We witnessed it in Philadelphia, and now we're seeing it in Chicago. The Bears' defense has looked legit frightening at times this year, but they've been inconsistent. If they can pressure Rivers into a turnover or two - and I think they will - then it will be enough to get them to 4-0. Who woulda thought?
4IDLES
Ultra Mono


Bengals 24, Jaguars 21 - Joe Burrow has been outstanding, simply put. When you consider the lack of talent around him and what he's been able to do to keep the Bengals in games, it's clear why he was the first overall pick in the 2020 NFL draft. This is the week he gets his first victory against a talentless Jacksonville squad that will pound high-effort RB James Robinson and hope for Minshew/mustache-magic to bail them out. Bengals win a close game on a late field goal that Bullock actually makes this time.
5The Ocean
Phanerozoic II: Mesozoic | Cenozoic


Cowboys 31, Browns 24 - Oh man, can you imagine if the Cowboys lose this game? Not only would they be nearing the cellar of the NFC East (let's be honest though, the whole division is a cellar), but Cleveland would be 3-1! Aside from the fact that Dallas should easily win this game on paper, I simply don't believe that the divine forces at work in the universe will allow good things to happen to Cleveland. The 'Boys win a game that is slightly closer than it should be and get back on track at .500, where they can set up their inevitable path to an 8-8 division title.
6Svalbard
When I Die, Will I Get Better?


Saints 28, Lions 24 - The Saints have now dropped two straight including an upset loss to the Raiders, so questioning their championship window is perfectly valid at this point. The Lions just pulled off a minor upset by defeating an ascending Arizona squad, and now both DET and NO sit at 1-2. Regardless, the Saints are more talented offensively and should be able to muscle ahead on the scoreboard by enough to squeak out a W, especially if Michael Thomas is able to return to the lineup. Game will be closer than expected.
7khotin
Finds You Well


Vikings 31, Texans 29 - Neither of these teams were expected to start 0-3, although the Texans at least can point to a horrid opening schedule that included KC, BAL, and PIT. I expect a high scoring, defensively challenged tilt here, with Dalvin Cook giving the Vikings a late go-ahead touchdown for the win.
8Anna von Hausswolff
All Thoughts Fly


Seahawks 36, Dolphins 17 - Russell Wilson deserves to have an MVP to his name at some point, and it may very well happen this year. Of all the teams that might be equipped to slow him down, Miami is not one of them. Seattle will continue their full-speed-ahead charge here.
9Bendrix Littleton
Deep Dark South


Buccaneers 28, Chargers 21 - Tampa Tom hasn't looked invincible, but he's stamped a winning mentality on the franchise that hasn't been present in a long time. LA's pass rush will provide one of his biggest tests yet, but the Bucs should be able to prevail against a Chargers team that has been very inconsistent and fields a rookie QB.
10The Neighbourhood
Chip Chrome & The Mono-Tones


Steelers vs.Titans POSTPONED INDEFINITELY DUE TO COVID
11Movements
No Good Left To Give


Ravens 34, Football Team 10 - It's not that Washington hasn't performed decently, because I think they've already exceeded expectations with their 1-2 start and disciplined play. However, this Baltimore team is a juggernaut that they can't overcome simply through ball-control offense and an above average defense. Lamar Jackson takes out his frustrations from last week's loss to KC here, and it won't be pretty for Washington.
12Bright Eyes
Down in the Weeds, Where the World Once Was


Rams 38, Giants 17 - The Rams seem to be back in their 2018 form, scoring at-will in a variety of ways within McVay's creative playbook. The injury-plagued Giants can only hope to stay competitive, but this game will more likely than not get away from them before halftime even hits.
13Westelaken
The Golden Days are Hard


Chiefs 35, Patriots 27 - You can never count out a Belichick-coached team, but the same thing applies to a team quarterbacked by Patrick Mahomes. The Patriots will likely employ a ground-and-pound approach to try to keep Mahomes off the field, and it might even work for a lot of the game. But Mahomes will find a way to put up scores in bunches - as he tends to in the 2nd and 4th quarters especially - to pull ahead when it matters the most.
14Phoebe Bridgers
Punisher


Bills 30, Raiders 26 - You have no idea how tempting it is to go with the LV upset here, especially considering how leaky Buffalo's defense has been and how potent Las Vegas' offense has become. This game will be much closer than many expect and could easily tilt in favor of either team. At the end of the day, I trust Josh Allen to make a play more than I do Derek Carr - and that'll be the difference.
15Waxahatchee
Saint Cloud


Eagles 23, 49ers 20 - Call it an upset, call it misplaced trust, but Philadelphia is better than their 0-2-1 record and the 49ers - decimated by injuries at QB and RB - are worse than their 2-1 record. Something's gotta give. I'll take Philly in a blind faith upset. Wentz leads the Eagles down the field for a game winning FG in a very ugly, almost unwatchable game.
16Honey Harper
Starmaker


Packers 41, Falcons 30 - You want offense, y'say? Well you came to the right place! The Falcons will do something absurd like go up 27-7 and then give up 34 4th quarter points, because that's what they do. With that said, Atlanta "should" be either 2-1 or 3-0, so the (3-0) vs (0-3) matchup is a tad misleading. This thing could go back and forth. Green Bay looks invincible at the moment though, and Atlanta is facing serious morale issues and doubt in their coaching, so give me the Packers to go 4-0 and get Dan Quinn fired by Tuesday morning.
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