macman76
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Soundoffs 4
Album Ratings 142
Objectivity 62%

Last Active 09-25-20 9:08 pm
Joined 11-12-11

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Sputnik Peaked in 2012

More data, this time with a clickbait headline. Sputnik peaked in October 2012, in terms of counts of ratings by users of albums that had at least one review by a staff/contrib/emeritus. Data was scraped from the sputnik pages around March 20th.
1DJ Shadow
Endtroducing...


Before I present what I have, some interesting things that I’ve learned of Sputnik’s rating system. 1) There are a subset of ratings listed on the soundoff pages that have no dates. The earliest labeled ratings are from January of 2005, but from there up until about July of 2007 users averaged 138 total ratings per month (that’s 138 ratings total combined for every user,) the following two months averaged more than 5 thousand ratings and never again falls below 4000. These blank-date-ratings also happen for albums after this July 2007 date, so you cannot assign them all to this pre-July 2007 sputnik time, but if you did these blank-ratings average a plausible 1638 ratings per month
2Green Day
iDOS!


2) When you make a rating, if you update it by selecting a new rating, that new time stamp is not saved. In order for the date to change you would have to have deleted the rating first. I can’t imagine someone deletes then rates rather than overwrite an old rating very often. One unfortunate thing this rule presents is that you cannot trust that a given rating is the same rating it was given the date listed.
3Third Eye Blind
Third Eye Blind


3) Those blank-date-ratings sometimes shuffle in position if you refresh the screen which fucked up my data and it took me a week to figure out how to fix it. Also, and it would take some knowledge of my code to explain why, Cygnatti’s blank name on the soundoff pages is worse than Donald Trump.
4At the Drive-In
Relationship of Command


Now for the subject of the list name. I can’t post images (unless I convinced the mods that an album with a cover depicting my figures was totally real and I posted said album) but the 3 point rolling average of October 2012 was 25108 Ratings and in January of 2016 it was 19068. Unique user ratings in a month peaked in May, 2013 with 3 month rolling mean of 2991 unique users, and January of 2016 it was 2250 unique users. But even that probably miscalculates the effect. The number of available albums to rate, in my dataset, grows over time – i.e. someone couldn’t have rated Kendrick Lamar’s TPAB in 2008 – and, those past ratings had to have survived the fact that users can be banned and/or have their ratings wiped. ...
5 Sputnikmusic
The Musical!


A rating that was made in 2006, for instance, has to have survived 10 years of shitheadedness to have made it into my dataset which is much easier than one that was made only a year ago (although -- and this is something which would be interesting to estimate-- it appears, based on comments, that it is easier to be banned/rating-wiped now than in early sputnik which would affect the ratings counts of each moderators’ “reign” differently). As for Sputnik’s future, I fit an ARIMA model with automatically selected parameters to the ratings’ counts data and it predicts that it will hold steady (not increase or decrease). In short, what I’ve found suggests that sputnik is not growing. The next albums are the most rated albums of each year counting only ratings done in that year.
6Blink-182
Blink-182


2005
4 Ratings (again, there are a lot of undated ratings, for this album its 356 Ratings, but it’s impossible to tell when they happened)
7Green Day
American Idiot


2006
25 Ratings (710 undated ratings)
8Radiohead
In Rainbows


2007
276 Ratings
9Protest the Hero
Fortress


2008
619 Ratings
10Mastodon
Crack the Skye


2009
797 Ratings
11Deftones
Diamond Eyes


2010
1084 Ratings
12Radiohead
The King of Limbs


2011
1235 Ratings
13Deftones
Koi No Yokan


2012
931 Ratings
14Queens of the Stone Age
...Like Clockwork


2013
1048 Ratings
15Mastodon
Once More 'Round the Sun


2014
933 Ratings
16Kendrick Lamar
To Pimp a Butterfly


2015
1804 Ratings
17David Bowie
Blackstar


2016
731 Ratings (as of March 21st)
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